TeaJay Pierce
VFR · 61°
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Models · Infrastructure · Public interest
Standing feature · live
forecast map — House · my ensemble
Every 2026 midterm forecast on one map — including mine
Updated daily · 435 House · 34 Senate · open to all
forecast map — House · my ensemble
HouseD 80%
SenateD 58%
The forecasters do not agree, and the places where they disagree are the interesting part. This map puts every published model side by side and then adds my own ensemble on top, weighted by how each one has actually performed.
It runs on a machine in my house. It updates every morning. Nobody is paying for it and nobody is editing it, which is either its strength or its whole problem.
From the archives — 607 memories, mapped
Engineer and analyst in Denver. I build the systems I use, run them on my own hardware, and publish what they produce.